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The NBA Finals have officially arrived! The Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics throw down to see who will be crowns champion and hoist the Larry O'Brien Trophy. It's not as David and Goliath as last year's Finals between the Heat and Nuggets, but the Celtics enter as strong -200 favorites to win it all. Meanwhile, we're locking in a +465 parlay for this series opener.
We're making this SGP because DraftKings is continuing their daily No-Sweat Same Game parlay token for every day of the NBA Playoffs, meaning if we lose, we get our bet back as a bonus! You might have a no-sweat token available on FanDuel as well, but we're getting the best odds at DraftKings.
RELATED: How Many Games Will there be in the NBA Finals?
Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we have identified three player props worth betting on in Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics Game 1.
By using both our player prop bets and top trends sourced from our predictive analytics model, we've made this three-leg NBA Parlay that clocks in at +465 odds.
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NBA Finals Game 1 Prop Bets Parlay Tonight - June 6, 2024
As mentioned, we are looking at Game 1 matchup of the NBA Finals featuring the Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics with a parlay that clocks in at +465.
You can find numerous props with an edge,as well asprop projections for 20 players with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on this parlay, you're sure to find a value play that's right for you.
Leg 1: Jayson Tatum Over 5.5 Assists (-115)
We'll start off with an assists prop on a player known more for his scoring and rebounding ability. Jayson Tatum gets a projection of 6.8 assists tonight against the Mavericks, clearing his line of 5.5 according to our model. Tatum cleared this infive of nine games over the past playoff series. He's averaged 9.8 potential assists in the postseason, the second-most out of all players remaining, save for Luka Doncic. With Jaylen Brown taking over in games and Kristaps Porzingis returning, Tatumshould have plenty of assist opportunities.
Full Game Projections:Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics Game 1 Betting Preview
Leg 2: Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Assists (-120)
Speaking of the guy with the most potential assists in the playoffs, Luka Doncic to put up at least 9 dimes is our second leg. Only Nikola Jokic averaged a higher potential assists output than Luka's 15.1 per game and by just .4. The main man getsa 10.3 projection from our model in the series opener, and he's cleared this in 12 of 17 games this postseason. He gets a 60.4% probability to go over, presenting a 6.9% edge on this as a single wager as well. For the Mavs to have a chance, they'llneed to lean on Luka and let him do what he does best as the maestro of this offense.
Leg 3: Kristaps Porzingis Over 15.5 Points (-120)
Closing out our parlay is the anticipated return of the Celtics big man, Kristaps Porzingis. He hasn't played since he went down with a calf strain in Game 4 of the playoff opener against the Heat. He was a pivotal piece of the Celtics this year,averaging 20.1 PPG during the regular season. That's precisely where he's projected by our model tonight, with a solid 59.2% probability of going over, offering a 6.8% edge against the best odds available for this as a singles play.
+465 NBA Finals Parlay Tonight: June 6, 2024
Having simulated the Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the three best player props to use in a prop bets parlay, and don't forget to apply your "No-Sweat" Token to your betslip!
Player (Team) | Prop Bet | Projection |
|---|---|---|
Jayson Tatum (Celtics) | Over 5.5 Assists | 6.8 AST |
Luka Doncic (Mavericks) | Over 8.5 Assists | 10.3 AST |
Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics) | Over 15.5 Points | 20.1 PTS |
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Dave Garofolo
Content Producer
Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM.
When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.
