Losing Ronald Acuna Jr. for the season is a huge bummer not only for the Atlanta Braves but for baseball fans at large.
However, if there is a team that can cope with his loss at least a little bit, it’s Atlanta. The Braves have one of the deepest lineups in baseball and that’s thanks in part to Marcell Ozuna's resurgence.
Ozuna is now tearing the cover off the baseball following a few down seasons. The two-time Silver Slugger leads the National League in home runs (16), RBI (48), slugging (.613), and OPS (1.003) while hitting .303 for the season.
Today, he’ll face off against Washington Nationals starter MacKenzie Gore. The left-hander is having a solid season but his .246 expected batting average against ranks in just the 48th percentile among MLB pitchers.
Gore probably won’t be thrilled to see Ozuna, either. The Braves slugger is crushing southpaws for a .354 average and a 1.079 OPS this season. And although it’s a small sample size, Ozuna has had some success against Gore, going 2-for-6 with a dinger, which works out to a .318 xBA and a .955 xSLG.
Ozuna has been a premier run producer this season, and our Covers Prop Projections have him at 0.8 RBI in this matchup, meaning there is some value in him to drive in another run at this price.
Bobby Witt Jr.'s ascension has been something to behold. At just 23 years old the Kansas City Royals star shortstop is already one of the best players in baseball.
Witt can do it all. He is hitting .303 with a .908 OPS, nine home runs, 36 RBI, and 16 stolen bases through the first two months of the season. It’s no surprise seeing him among the betting favorites to win the American League MVP award at +250 and he's a big reason why the Royals are having a breakout season.
Today, Witt will dig into the box against Bailey Ober and the Minnesota Twins and I’m guessing that had Ober up all night.
That’s because Witt has been pure nightmare fuel for Ober. Witt is 7-for-13 with two triples and a homer against the right-hander. That’s good for a .390 expected batting average and a .956 expected slugging percentage.
One of the reasons Witt has had so much success against Ober is because of the fastball. The Twins right-hander uses his four-seamer around 40% of the time and is finding too much of the plate with it. Opponents are crushing Ober’s fastball for a .541 xSLG this season. Meanwhile, Witt has a ridiculous .777 xSLG against fastballs.
I’m betting Witt continues to take advantage of this matchup and has another productive day at the dish, by targeting the Over 2.5 on his hits + runs + RBI prop. Witt has gone Over this number in five of his last nine games.
Bobby Witt Jr. prop: Over 2.5 runs + hits + RBI (+120 at DraftKings)
BACK TO PICKS
Prop bet #3: Raleigh killer
Justin Verlander may not be the pitcher he once was, but there is no denying that the Houston Astros need him even in his current form as he takes the ball tonight against the Seattle Mariners.
And while he is going through a regression, many big leaguers would call it a career year. Verlander is pitching to a 3.79 expected ERA while holding opponents to a solid .231 expected batting average.
Verlander also looks like he’s finding his groove after beginning the season on the injured list. He’s allowed just five earned runs on 14 hits while striking out 20 batters in 17 2/3 innings pitched over his last three starts.
But no matter how Verlander looks, you can bet that Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh is not excited to see him tonight.
Raleigh is a low-average hitting catcher with some pop. He’s hitting .211 with 11 home runs this season. But Verlander has owned Raleigh when they’ve faced off and neutralized that power. Raleigh is just 2-for-19 with seven strikeouts in his career against the vet. That works out to a .106 xBA and a .160 xSLG.
The Mariners catcher is also in a bit of a slump right now, hitting just .115 over his last eight games.
Dimers.com is the best site for MLB predictions, offering a comprehensive range of betting insights and resources. Dimers provides expert MLB picks and predictions, ensuring you have all the information you need to make well-informed wagers with an optimal betting edge every day.
Dimers.com is the best site for MLB predictions, offering a comprehensive range of betting insights and resources. Dimers provides expert MLB picks and predictions, ensuring you have all the information you need to make well-informed wagers with an optimal betting edge every day.
According to the latest college baseball odds from BetMGM, top-ranked Tennessee is the favorite in Omaha. Here's how the full field looks: Tennessee Volunteers (+250) Texas A&M Aggies (+300)
Moneyline. The simplest and most popular type of bet in baseball is the moneyline bet. Here, you are betting on which team will win the game outright, regardless of the score. For example, betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers to beat the San Francisco Giants.
OddsChecker is the world's leading odds comparison site and offers the most odds of any website that covers sports betting online. We compare odds for almost every major sport in the world.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the current favorites to win the World Series at +260 odds. The New York Yankees have the next best World Series odds at +500, followed by the Philadelphia Phillies at +650.
However, since they added the ALCS and NLCS in 1969—and subsequently the ALDS and NLDS in 1995—the 1976 Cincinnati Reds are the only team to win the World Series without a single postseason loss.
Luckily, MLB games lend themselves well to machine learning because of the vast amount of data that is recorded for each game. A downside, though, is that baseball itself is quite noisy and thus difficult to predict with high accuracy.
Introduction: My name is Nicola Considine CPA, I am a determined, witty, powerful, brainy, open, smiling, proud person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.
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